FK Vilhivci vs Shakhtar Donetsk

17 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

FK Vilhivci

Shakhtar Donetsk

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 2.1% DRAW 5.4% AWAY 92.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 1.9% 51.00 DRAW 5.6% 17.00 AWAY 92.5% 1.03

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Shakhtar Donetsk

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Vilhivci Shakhtar Donetsk

Shots 2.0 · On target 0.8 Shots 11.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Shakhtar Donetsk, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Vilhivci Shakhtar Donetsk

Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.3

FK Vilhivci has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Vilhivci Shakhtar Donetsk

The combined recent performance profile favours Shakhtar Donetsk.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

FK Vilhivci ↑ +10.00 (+24.4%)

Shakhtar Donetsk ↑ +0.02 (+2.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.