Athletico Paranaense B vs Paranavai

07 Sep 2026 · 22:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Athletico Paranaense B

Paranavai

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 33.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.0% 2.50 DRAW 28.1% 3.20 AWAY 36.0% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Paranavai

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Athletico Paranaense B Paranavai

Shots 3.0 · On target 1.0 Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Paranavai, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Athletico Paranaense B Paranavai

Shots allowed 2.0 · On target allowed 0.0 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Athletico Paranaense B has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Athletico Paranaense B Paranavai

The combined recent performance profile favours Athletico Paranaense B.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Athletico Paranaense B = (0.0%)

Paranavai = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.