Rilski Sportist vs Yantra Gabrovo

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.8 pp

Rilski Sportist

Yantra Gabrovo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.4% DRAW 32.0% AWAY 38.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.4% 2.75 DRAW 31.7% 2.90 AWAY 34.8% 2.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Yantra Gabrovo relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 38.6% win probability, compared with 34.8% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Yantra Gabrovo has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rilski Sportist Yantra Gabrovo

Shots 7.8 · On target 2.0 Shots 16.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Yantra Gabrovo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rilski Sportist Yantra Gabrovo

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Yantra Gabrovo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rilski Sportist Yantra Gabrovo

The combined recent performance profile favours Yantra Gabrovo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Rilski Sportist ↓ -0.25 (-8.3%)

Yantra Gabrovo ↑ +0.49 (+22.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.