Vihren Sandanski vs PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

Vihren Sandanski

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 81.2% DRAW 13.6% AWAY 5.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 78.2% 1.18 DRAW 15.4% 6.00 AWAY 6.5% 14.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Vihren Sandanski relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 81.2% win probability, compared with 78.2% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Vihren Sandanski has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vihren Sandanski PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

Shots 16.3 · On target 6.8 Shots 8.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Vihren Sandanski, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vihren Sandanski PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Vihren Sandanski has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vihren Sandanski PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

The combined recent performance profile favours Vihren Sandanski.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Vihren Sandanski ↓ -0.09 (-7.0%)

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich ↑ +5.80 (+68.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.