GVVV Veenendaal vs DVS'33 Ermelo

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

GVVV Veenendaal

DVS'33 Ermelo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.8% DRAW 18.1% AWAY 16.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.2% 1.42 DRAW 18.8% 5.00 AWAY 15.0% 6.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: GVVV Veenendaal

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

GVVV Veenendaal DVS'33 Ermelo

Shots 9.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 5.5 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours GVVV Veenendaal, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

GVVV Veenendaal DVS'33 Ermelo

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.3

DVS'33 Ermelo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

GVVV Veenendaal DVS'33 Ermelo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

GVVV Veenendaal ↓ -0.01 (-0.7%)

DVS'33 Ermelo ↑ +1.00 (+19.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.