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Slovenia Cup · SI

MNK Izola vs Tabor Sezana

08 Sep 2026 · 17:30
NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp
MNK Izola
Tabor Sezana
HOME 17.4% DRAW 20.1% AWAY 62.5%
HOME 16.3% 5.64 DRAW 20.4% 4.50 AWAY 63.3% 1.45

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the away side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output
MNK Izola Tabor Sezana
Shots 12.5 · On target 7.0 Shots 13.3 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
MNK Izola Tabor Sezana
Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Tabor Sezana has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
MNK Izola Tabor Sezana

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

MNK Izola ↑ +0.64 (+12.8%)
Tabor Sezana = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.