NK Brezice vs ND Dravinja

08 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

NK Brezice

ND Dravinja

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.4% DRAW 26.4% AWAY 24.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.1% 1.95 DRAW 27.0% 3.40 AWAY 25.9% 3.54

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

NK Brezice has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Brezice ND Dravinja

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Brezice ND Dravinja

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 6.0

NK Brezice has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Brezice ND Dravinja

The combined recent performance profile favours NK Brezice.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NK Brezice ↑ +0.04 (+2.1%)

ND Dravinja ↑ +0.14 (+4.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.