Groene Ster vs Amsterdamsche FC

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Groene Ster

Amsterdamsche FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.1% DRAW 22.0% AWAY 54.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.0% 4.42 DRAW 22.4% 4.33 AWAY 55.5% 1.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Groene Ster Amsterdamsche FC

Shots 10.8 · On target 6.0 Shots 12.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Groene Ster Amsterdamsche FC

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Groene Ster Amsterdamsche FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Groene Ster ↓ -1.43 (-24.4%)

Amsterdamsche FC ↑ +0.34 (+24.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.