Worthing vs Norwich U21

08 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Worthing

Norwich U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.3% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 34.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.7% 2.24 DRAW 25.9% 3.60 AWAY 32.4% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Norwich U21

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Worthing Norwich U21

Shots 13.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 13.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Worthing Norwich U21

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Norwich U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Worthing Norwich U21

The combined recent performance profile favours Norwich U21.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Worthing ↓ -0.22 (-8.9%)

Norwich U21 ↑ +0.41 (+16.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.