Chasetown vs Kidsgrove Ath

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Chasetown

Kidsgrove Ath

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.6% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 28.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.0% 1.95 DRAW 24.8% 3.70 AWAY 28.2% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chasetown

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chasetown Kidsgrove Ath

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 5.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Chasetown, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chasetown Kidsgrove Ath

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Kidsgrove Ath has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chasetown Kidsgrove Ath

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chasetown ↑ +0.10 (+5.5%)

Kidsgrove Ath = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.