Mossley vs Clitheroe

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Mossley

Clitheroe

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.2% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 42.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.3% 2.82 DRAW 25.0% 3.75 AWAY 41.7% 2.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Clitheroe

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mossley Clitheroe

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 15.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Clitheroe, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mossley Clitheroe

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Mossley has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mossley Clitheroe

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Mossley ↑ +0.62 (+28.0%)

Clitheroe ↓ -0.45 (-16.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.