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England Northern League Division One · GB

Stafford Rangers vs Nantwich Town

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45
NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp
Stafford Rangers
Nantwich Town
HOME 45.2% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 30.7%
HOME 43.2% 2.15 DRAW 24.9% 3.73 AWAY 31.9% 2.91

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Nantwich Town

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Stafford Rangers Nantwich Town
Shots 11.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Stafford Rangers Nantwich Town
Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Stafford Rangers has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Stafford Rangers Nantwich Town

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Stafford Rangers ↓ -0.20 (-8.5%)
Nantwich Town ↑ +0.46 (+18.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.