San Martin Burzaco Reserves vs Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves

08 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

San Martin Burzaco Reserves

Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 13.5% DRAW 21.2% AWAY 65.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 14.4% 6.25 DRAW 22.0% 4.10 AWAY 63.6% 1.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Martin Burzaco Reserves Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves

Shots 7.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Martin Burzaco Reserves Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Martin Burzaco Reserves Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

San Martin Burzaco Reserves = (0.0%)

Arsenal de Sarandi Reserves = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.