Central Ballester Reserves vs General Lamadrid Reserves

08 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.9 pp

Central Ballester Reserves

General Lamadrid Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.0% DRAW 27.8% AWAY 39.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.7% 2.45 DRAW 28.1% 3.20 AWAY 35.2% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for General Lamadrid Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.2% win probability, compared with 35.2% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

General Lamadrid Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Central Ballester Reserves General Lamadrid Reserves

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Central Ballester Reserves General Lamadrid Reserves

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 8.3 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.8

General Lamadrid Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Central Ballester Reserves General Lamadrid Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours General Lamadrid Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Central Ballester Reserves ↓ -0.18 (-6.7%)

General Lamadrid Reserves ↑ +0.35 (+15.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.