CA Lugano Reserves vs Yupanqui Reserves

08 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

CA Lugano Reserves

Yupanqui Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.3% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 28.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.6% 2.10 DRAW 28.0% 3.20 AWAY 29.4% 3.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Yupanqui Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Lugano Reserves Yupanqui Reserves

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Lugano Reserves Yupanqui Reserves

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.8

CA Lugano Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Lugano Reserves Yupanqui Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours CA Lugano Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CA Lugano Reserves = (0.0%)

Yupanqui Reserves ↑ +0.05 (+1.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.