CA Atlas Reserves vs Puerto Nuevo Reserves

08 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

CA Atlas Reserves

Puerto Nuevo Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.5% DRAW 31.8% AWAY 30.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.4% 2.85 DRAW 31.4% 3.40 AWAY 31.2% 3.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Atlas Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Atlas Reserves Puerto Nuevo Reserves

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours CA Atlas Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Atlas Reserves Puerto Nuevo Reserves

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Puerto Nuevo Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Atlas Reserves Puerto Nuevo Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CA Atlas Reserves ↑ +0.45 (+18.8%)

Puerto Nuevo Reserves ↑ +0.92 (+36.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.