Leandro N. Alem Reserves vs Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

08 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Leandro N. Alem Reserves

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.1% DRAW 29.7% AWAY 36.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.4% 3.10 DRAW 29.5% 3.40 AWAY 38.1% 2.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Leandro N. Alem Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Leandro N. Alem Reserves Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 5.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Leandro N. Alem Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Leandro N. Alem Reserves Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Leandro N. Alem Reserves Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Leandro N. Alem Reserves ↑ +0.85 (+37.8%)

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves ↑ +0.01 (+0.2%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.