Club Africain vs ES Zarzis

20 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Club Africain

ES Zarzis

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.9% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 12.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.4% 1.52 DRAW 25.9% 3.60 AWAY 12.6% 7.39

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ES Zarzis

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club Africain ES Zarzis

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club Africain ES Zarzis

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Club Africain has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club Africain ES Zarzis

The combined recent performance profile favours Club Africain.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Club Africain ↑ +0.03 (+1.7%)

ES Zarzis ↓ -0.36 (-4.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.