3 de Noviembre vs Sol de America

08 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.5 pp

3 de Noviembre

Sol de America

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.5% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 42.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.0% 3.20 DRAW 27.2% 3.30 AWAY 44.8% 2.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for 3 de Noviembre relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 30.5% win probability, compared with 28.0% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: 3 de Noviembre

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

3 de Noviembre Sol de America

Shots 9.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours 3 de Noviembre, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

3 de Noviembre Sol de America

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

3 de Noviembre Sol de America

The combined recent performance profile favours 3 de Noviembre.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

3 de Noviembre = (0.0%)

Sol de America = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.