Cartagines vs Alajuelense

14 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Cartagines

Alajuelense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.9% DRAW 30.7% AWAY 29.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.4% 2.32 DRAW 30.2% 3.25 AWAY 27.4% 3.59

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Alajuelense

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cartagines Alajuelense

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 16.3 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Alajuelense, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cartagines Alajuelense

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cartagines Alajuelense

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Cartagines ↓ -0.04 (-1.7%)

Alajuelense ↓ -0.01 (-0.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.