Canedo EC U20 vs Abadia U20

08 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Canedo EC U20

Abadia U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.8% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 27.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.7% 2.00 DRAW 25.5% 3.50 AWAY 29.8% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Canedo EC U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.8% win probability, compared with 44.7% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Canedo EC U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Canedo EC U20 Abadia U20

Shots 9.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 9.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Canedo EC U20 Abadia U20

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Canedo EC U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Canedo EC U20 Abadia U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Canedo EC U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Canedo EC U20 = (0.0%)

Abadia U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.