Carapegua vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

10 Sep 2026 · 21:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Carapegua

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.3% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 44.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.7% 3.35 DRAW 27.1% 3.42 AWAY 45.2% 2.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the away side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Carapegua Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Shots 10.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Carapegua Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Carapegua Club Dr Benjamin Aceval

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Carapegua ↓ -0.16 (-4.4%)

Club Dr Benjamin Aceval ↑ +0.22 (+11.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.