Inter San Carlos vs Puntarenas

13 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.8 pp

Inter San Carlos

Puntarenas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.8% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 21.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.0% 1.85 DRAW 27.3% 3.25 AWAY 24.7% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Inter San Carlos relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.8% win probability, compared with 48.0% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Inter San Carlos has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Inter San Carlos Puntarenas

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 9.3 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Inter San Carlos, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Inter San Carlos Puntarenas

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 6.5

Inter San Carlos has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Inter San Carlos Puntarenas

The combined recent performance profile favours Inter San Carlos.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Inter San Carlos ↑ +0.11 (+5.8%)

Puntarenas ↑ +0.19 (+5.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.