Staphorst vs Genemuiden

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Staphorst

Genemuiden

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.3% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 48.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.2% 3.60 DRAW 24.5% 3.84 AWAY 49.3% 1.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Staphorst

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Staphorst Genemuiden

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 4.5 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Staphorst, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Staphorst Genemuiden

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.8

Genemuiden has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Staphorst Genemuiden

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Staphorst ↓ -0.40 (-10.0%)

Genemuiden ↑ +0.24 (+14.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.