Club Atlético Tembetary vs Carapegua

15 Sep 2026 · 21:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Club Atlético Tembetary

Carapegua

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.0% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 28.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.6% 2.20 DRAW 26.8% 3.50 AWAY 30.7% 3.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Club Atlético Tembetary

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club Atlético Tembetary Carapegua

Shots 8.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club Atlético Tembetary Carapegua

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Club Atlético Tembetary has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club Atlético Tembetary Carapegua

The combined recent performance profile favours Club Atlético Tembetary.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Club Atlético Tembetary = (0.0%)

Carapegua ↑ +0.36 (+13.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.