Qingdao Red Lions vs Xiamen Feilu

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Qingdao Red Lions

Xiamen Feilu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.6% DRAW 34.1% AWAY 31.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.0% 2.79 DRAW 33.3% 2.85 AWAY 32.7% 2.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Qingdao Red Lions

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Qingdao Red Lions Xiamen Feilu

Shots 9.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 4.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Qingdao Red Lions, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Qingdao Red Lions Xiamen Feilu

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Xiamen Feilu has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Qingdao Red Lions Xiamen Feilu

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Qingdao Red Lions ↑ +0.53 (+23.5%)

Xiamen Feilu ↓ -0.10 (-3.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.