Beijing Institute vs Ganzhou Ruishi

12 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Beijing Institute

Ganzhou Ruishi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.1% DRAW 30.4% AWAY 24.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.4% 2.16 DRAW 30.5% 3.00 AWAY 27.1% 3.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Beijing Institute relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.1% win probability, compared with 42.4% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Beijing Institute

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Beijing Institute Ganzhou Ruishi

Shots 9.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 2.8 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Beijing Institute, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Beijing Institute Ganzhou Ruishi

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Beijing Institute Ganzhou Ruishi

The combined recent performance profile favours Beijing Institute.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Beijing Institute ↑ +0.27 (+14.3%)

Ganzhou Ruishi ↓ -0.43 (-11.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.