Shanghai Segenda vs Hubei Istar

19 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Shanghai Segenda

Hubei Istar

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.2% DRAW 30.2% AWAY 28.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.3% 2.34 DRAW 30.2% 3.05 AWAY 30.5% 3.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Shanghai Segenda

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shanghai Segenda Hubei Istar

Shots 5.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 5.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shanghai Segenda Hubei Istar

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Shanghai Segenda has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shanghai Segenda Hubei Istar

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Shanghai Segenda ↓ -0.06 (-2.5%)

Hubei Istar ↑ +0.07 (+2.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.