Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Wenzhou FC

18 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Wenzhou FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.6% DRAW 32.5% AWAY 25.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.4% 2.13 DRAW 31.5% 3.00 AWAY 24.1% 3.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic Wenzhou FC

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 5.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic Wenzhou FC

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 0.5

Wenzhou FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic Wenzhou FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Wenzhou FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic ↑ +0.21 (+10.9%)

Wenzhou FC ↓ -0.33 (-7.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.