Guangzhou Dandelion vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

13 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Guangzhou Dandelion

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.9% DRAW 35.2% AWAY 29.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.9% 2.75 DRAW 34.3% 2.80 AWAY 30.8% 3.11

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Guangzhou Dandelion Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Shots 7.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Guangzhou Dandelion Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Guangzhou Dandelion has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Guangzhou Dandelion Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Guangzhou Dandelion ↑ +0.20 (+7.8%)

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic ↑ +0.36 (+13.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.