Dalian Kewei vs Shenzhen 2028

19 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Dalian Kewei

Shenzhen 2028

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.2% DRAW 31.5% AWAY 25.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.5% 2.00 DRAW 30.5% 3.05 AWAY 23.0% 4.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Shenzhen 2028 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dalian Kewei Shenzhen 2028

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Shenzhen 2028, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dalian Kewei Shenzhen 2028

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Shenzhen 2028 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dalian Kewei Shenzhen 2028

The combined recent performance profile favours Shenzhen 2028.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Dalian Kewei ↓ -0.05 (-2.4%)

Shenzhen 2028 ↑ +0.55 (+15.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.