Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

19 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.0% DRAW 31.5% AWAY 42.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.9% 3.15 DRAW 31.4% 2.90 AWAY 39.6% 2.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.5% win probability, compared with 39.6% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8 Shots 13.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 1.0

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

The combined recent performance profile favours Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai ↑ +0.65 (+26.0%)

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic ↓ -0.58 (-20.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.