Shandong Taishan Reserves vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Shandong Taishan Reserves

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.9% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 14.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.5% 1.64 DRAW 25.9% 3.70 AWAY 15.7% 6.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Shandong Taishan Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shandong Taishan Reserves Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

Shots 8.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 4.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Shandong Taishan Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shandong Taishan Reserves Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shandong Taishan Reserves Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

The combined recent performance profile favours Shandong Taishan Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Shandong Taishan Reserves ↑ +0.26 (+18.6%)

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue ↓ -1.40 (-18.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.