Municipal Limeno Reserves vs CD Aguila Reserves

10 Sep 2026 · 20:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Municipal Limeno Reserves

CD Aguila Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.9% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 47.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.4% 3.25 DRAW 25.3% 3.65 AWAY 46.3% 1.99

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Municipal Limeno Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Municipal Limeno Reserves CD Aguila Reserves

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Municipal Limeno Reserves CD Aguila Reserves

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.5

CD Aguila Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Municipal Limeno Reserves CD Aguila Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Municipal Limeno Reserves ↓ -0.09 (-2.5%)

CD Aguila Reserves ↑ +0.07 (+3.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.