RKAV Volendam vs Spakenburg

22 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

RKAV Volendam

Spakenburg

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.5% DRAW 22.7% AWAY 50.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.1% 3.48 DRAW 23.5% 4.00 AWAY 49.3% 1.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Spakenburg has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

RKAV Volendam Spakenburg

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Spakenburg, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

RKAV Volendam Spakenburg

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 1.8

Spakenburg has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

RKAV Volendam Spakenburg

The combined recent performance profile favours Spakenburg.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

RKAV Volendam ↓ -0.13 (-3.5%)

Spakenburg ↑ +0.03 (+1.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.