Teteks Tetovo vs Bregalnica Stip

09 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Teteks Tetovo

Bregalnica Stip

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 7.4% DRAW 14.2% AWAY 78.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 4.8% 19.00 DRAW 12.2% 7.50 AWAY 83.0% 1.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Teteks Tetovo relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 7.4% win probability, compared with 4.8% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Teteks Tetovo has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Teteks Tetovo Bregalnica Stip

Shots 18.3 · On target 8.3 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Teteks Tetovo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Teteks Tetovo Bregalnica Stip

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Teteks Tetovo Bregalnica Stip

The combined recent performance profile favours Teteks Tetovo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Teteks Tetovo ↑ +9.00 (+90.0%)

Bregalnica Stip ↓ -0.10 (-8.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.