Skjetten vs Skjervøy

22 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

Skjetten

Skjervøy

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 74.1% DRAW 15.2% AWAY 10.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.4% 1.34 DRAW 17.1% 5.50 AWAY 12.5% 7.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Skjetten relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 74.1% win probability, compared with 70.4% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Skjetten

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Skjetten Skjervøy

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 1.0 · On target 0.3

Recent attacking output favours Skjetten, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Skjetten Skjervøy

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Skjervøy has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Skjetten Skjervøy

The combined recent performance profile favours Skjetten.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Skjetten ↓ -0.10 (-7.2%)

Skjervøy ↑ +3.05 (+67.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.