1º de Maio de Benguela vs CD Lunda Sul

21 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

1º de Maio de Benguela

CD Lunda Sul

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.4% DRAW 31.2% AWAY 22.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.9% 2.10 DRAW 31.3% 2.88 AWAY 25.7% 3.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for 1º de Maio de Benguela relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 46.4% win probability, compared with 42.9% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: 1º de Maio de Benguela

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

1º de Maio de Benguela CD Lunda Sul

Shots 10.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 0.8 · On target 0.3

Recent attacking output favours 1º de Maio de Benguela, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

1º de Maio de Benguela CD Lunda Sul

Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

1º de Maio de Benguela CD Lunda Sul

The combined recent performance profile favours 1º de Maio de Benguela.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

1º de Maio de Benguela = (0.0%)

CD Lunda Sul = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.