Tacuary vs 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

16 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Tacuary

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.2% DRAW 30.3% AWAY 42.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 27.9% 3.35 DRAW 30.1% 3.10 AWAY 42.0% 2.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tacuary 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tacuary 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tacuary 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Tacuary ↑ +0.54 (+12.5%)

12 de Junio de Villa Hayes = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.