KF Ferizaj vs Istogu

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

KF Ferizaj

Istogu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.9% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 28.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.9% 2.09 DRAW 27.8% 3.30 AWAY 28.2% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Istogu

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

KF Ferizaj Istogu

Shots 5.0 · On target 1.5 Shots 3.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KF Ferizaj Istogu

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 1.5

Istogu has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KF Ferizaj Istogu

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

KF Ferizaj ↓ -0.05 (-2.3%)

Istogu ↑ +0.01 (+0.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.