Njardvik vs Throttur Reykjavik

09 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.4 pp

Njardvik

Throttur Reykjavik

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.0% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 44.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.8% 3.00 DRAW 26.9% 3.55 AWAY 41.3% 2.31

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Throttur Reykjavik relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.7% win probability, compared with 41.3% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Throttur Reykjavik has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Njardvik Throttur Reykjavik

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 14.8 · On target 8.3

Recent attacking output favours Throttur Reykjavik, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Njardvik Throttur Reykjavik

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Njardvik Throttur Reykjavik

The combined recent performance profile favours Throttur Reykjavik.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Njardvik ↑ +0.17 (+5.9%)

Throttur Reykjavik ↑ +0.20 (+9.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.