FK Zhenys (W) vs Irtysh Pavlodar (W)

08 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

FK Zhenys (W)

Irtysh Pavlodar (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 88.0% DRAW 7.8% AWAY 4.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 84.8% 1.09 DRAW 9.7% 9.50 AWAY 5.4% 17.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FK Zhenys (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 88.0% win probability, compared with 84.8% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK Zhenys (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Zhenys (W) Irtysh Pavlodar (W)

Shots 18.3 · On target 8.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours FK Zhenys (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Zhenys (W) Irtysh Pavlodar (W)

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 6.5

FK Zhenys (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Zhenys (W) Irtysh Pavlodar (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Zhenys (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Zhenys (W) = (0.0%)

Irtysh Pavlodar (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.