Lisburn (W) vs Crusaders Strikers (W)

25 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Lisburn (W)

Crusaders Strikers (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.5% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 57.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.5% 5.00 DRAW 23.2% 4.20 AWAY 57.3% 1.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Crusaders Strikers (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lisburn (W) Crusaders Strikers (W)

Shots 3.5 · On target 1.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Crusaders Strikers (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lisburn (W) Crusaders Strikers (W)

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Lisburn (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lisburn (W) Crusaders Strikers (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Crusaders Strikers (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Lisburn (W) ↑ +0.10 (+2.0%)

Crusaders Strikers (W) ↑ +0.24 (+16.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.