NK Bistrica vs NK Odranci

09 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.5 pp

NK Bistrica

NK Odranci

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 8.0% DRAW 9.2% AWAY 82.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 5.5% 19.00 DRAW 8.7% 12.00 AWAY 85.8% 1.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

NK Bistrica has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Bistrica NK Odranci

Shots 15.8 · On target 7.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours NK Bistrica, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Bistrica NK Odranci

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.3

NK Bistrica has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Bistrica NK Odranci

The combined recent performance profile favours NK Bistrica.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

NK Bistrica ↑ +14.50 (+322.2%)

NK Odranci ↓ -0.31 (-20.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.