Roltek DOB vs ND Slovan Ljubljana

09 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

Roltek DOB

ND Slovan Ljubljana

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.0% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 46.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.0% 3.29 DRAW 22.5% 4.24 AWAY 48.5% 1.97

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Roltek DOB relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 32.0% win probability, compared with 29.0% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Roltek DOB

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Roltek DOB ND Slovan Ljubljana

Shots 11.3 · On target 7.3 Shots 12.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Roltek DOB ND Slovan Ljubljana

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Roltek DOB ND Slovan Ljubljana

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Roltek DOB ↓ -2.71 (-45.2%)

ND Slovan Ljubljana ↑ +0.61 (+44.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.