NK Rudar Velenje vs NK Celje

09 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

NK Rudar Velenje

NK Celje

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 7.1% DRAW 13.9% AWAY 79.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 6.4% 15.00 DRAW 13.9% 6.95 AWAY 79.7% 1.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

NK Rudar Velenje NK Celje

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 15.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NK Rudar Velenje NK Celje

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NK Rudar Velenje NK Celje

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

NK Rudar Velenje ↑ +4.00 (+36.4%)

NK Celje ↓ -0.01 (-1.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.