FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

09 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.7 pp

FC Tzeirey Tamra

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.7% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 55.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.5% 4.20 DRAW 24.8% 3.80 AWAY 52.7% 1.79

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.4% win probability, compared with 52.7% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Tzeirey Tamra Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Shots 2.8 · On target 1.0 Shots 4.0 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Tzeirey Tamra Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.5

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Tzeirey Tamra Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FC Tzeirey Tamra ↑ +1.00 (+31.3%)

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm ↓ -0.12 (-6.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.