AVS vs SC Farense

13 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.5 pp

AVS

SC Farense

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.1% DRAW 29.1% AWAY 44.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.2% 3.18 DRAW 29.5% 3.25 AWAY 40.3% 2.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates SC Farense clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.8% win probability, compared with 40.3% implied by the market. The 4.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

SC Farense has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

AVS SC Farense

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 16.3 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours SC Farense, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AVS SC Farense

Shots allowed 18.3 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.5

SC Farense has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AVS SC Farense

The combined recent performance profile favours SC Farense.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

AVS ↑ +0.06 (+1.9%)

SC Farense = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.