FC Porto B vs Vizela

14 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

FC Porto B

Vizela

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.7% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 49.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.7% 4.02 DRAW 27.8% 3.43 AWAY 48.6% 1.96

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Vizela

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Porto B Vizela

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 9.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Porto B Vizela

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Vizela has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Porto B Vizela

The combined recent performance profile favours Vizela.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

FC Porto B ↑ +0.42 (+11.7%)

Vizela ↑ +0.05 (+2.7%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.