Zhejiang vs Wuhan Three Towns

18 Sep 2026 · 13:35

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

Zhejiang

Wuhan Three Towns

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.7% DRAW 20.8% AWAY 25.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.3% 1.97 DRAW 22.2% 4.46 AWAY 27.5% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Zhejiang relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 53.7% win probability, compared with 50.3% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Zhejiang

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Zhejiang Wuhan Three Towns

Shots 13.3 · On target 7.3 Shots 13.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Zhejiang, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Zhejiang Wuhan Three Towns

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Zhejiang Wuhan Three Towns

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Zhejiang ↑ +0.20 (+11.0%)

Wuhan Three Towns ↓ -0.46 (-11.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.